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Budget simulator

Adjust the major sources of federal revenue and spending, and watch the projected deficit or surplus change. A simplified way to feel the trade-offs.

Read this as a learning tool, not a forecast. Real budgets involve mandatory vs. discretionary spending, multi-year baselines, debt-interest feedback, and economic effects this model doesn't capture. Categories are shown at their actual FY2025 levels; a percent change simply scales that line.

Projected deficit$1,775,357,280,734

Baseline vs. your scenario

Federal receipts and spending — real FY2025 baseline vs. your scenario
xBaseline (real FY2025)Your scenario
Receipts$5,234,616,386,315$5,234,616,386,315
Spending$7,009,973,667,049$7,009,973,667,049

The gap between receipts and spending is the deficit; move the sliders to see both bars shift against the real baseline.

Revenue — receipts by source

Individual income taxes$2.7T
Social insurance & retirement (payroll)$1.7T
Corporation income taxes$452B
Customs duties$195B
Excise taxes$106B
Miscellaneous receipts$48B
Estate & gift taxes$29B

Spending — by function

Social Security$1.6T
Medicare$997B
Health$979B
Net Interest$970B
National Defense$917B
Income Security$702B
Veterans Benefits and Services$377B
Transportation$146B
Natural Resources and Environment$88B
Administration of Justice$85B
Other (net)$169B

Smaller and net-offsetting functions, held fixed.

Baseline: U.S. Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement — net receipts by source and outlays by function, FY2025. These reconcile to the headline deficit (unlike gross agency/award figures).